Betting Line: Ravens -3
Over/Under: 47 points at 888 Sportsbook
A fascinating NFL betting affair is looking to unfold for the Ravens as they face the Cleveland Browns on Sunday.
The Ravens have flown under the radar this season, sitting 3-1 and tied for first place in the AFC North with the Cincinnati Bengals.
Joe Flacco has had a good season under center and the defense has been solid as well, but the run game could help out some, which it has not done. The Ravens rank in the top five teams in the NFL in both points per game and opponents’ points per game.
The Baker Mayfield era in Cleveland started with a bang after he came off the bench to lead the team to their first season-opening win since 2016. However, in his first NFL start in his last game he did almost pass for 300 yards and made some big plays with two touchdowns, but he had four turnovers in a 45-42 overtime loss to the Oakland Raiders. He has to avoid the turnovers and rely on the run game, which is, surprisingly, getting it done, ranking second in the league in rushing yards per game.
This season the Ravens are 3-1 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 2-2 with the Browns at 3-1 ATS with an Over/Under record of 2-2.
The Ravens have won their last five games facing the Browns and they have also covered the spread in their last five games against their AFC North rival.
Baltimore is coming off a Sunday Night primetime game where they were on the road and beat the Pittsburgh Steelers 26-14. They had 451 yards and held the Steelers to 284 yards and they also played great run defense. Flacco played well passing for a season-high 363 yards and for the season he has 10 touchdowns and only two interceptions. While the Ravens’ wide receiver corps is not a great one it is a deep one and John Brown leads the team in receiving yards.
Alex Collins has struggled this season to pound the rock on the ground only totaling 158 rushing yards in four games. The Browns have had a good pass rush, thanks to Myles Garrett (4.5 sacks), but still only rank 24th defending the pass and 23rd defending the run.
Mayfield passed for 297 yards in the loss to the Raiders, but the turnovers really hurt in only losing by three points in overtime. He had two interceptions and two fumbles and the Browns are hoping he learned his lesson on how to hold onto the ball. Javaris Landry leads a young set of receiver and Carlos Hyde and rookie Nick Chubb have manned the run game admirably.
In Baltimore’s three wins their defense has held their opponents to 31 points while in the one loss they gave up 34 points.
Baltimore Ravens betting trends
- Ravens are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six road games
- Ravens are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games against teams from the AFC North
- Ravens have an Over record of 8-3 in their last 11 games after a win
Cleveland Browns betting trends
- Browns are 6-17 ATS in their last 23 home games
- Browns are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games in October
- Browns have an Under record of 16-5 in their last 21 home games
Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns Betting Prediction
Mayfield has shown promise in his two games this season and he will show more in this game. He will hold onto the rock as well as get help from the run game and the defense.
The lack of a run game will hurt Baltimore in this division contest, as the Cleveland defense will be much improved from their last game when they gave up 45 points.
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