When the odds first came out for 2019 NCAA Basketball Most Outstanding Player award, it was no surprise to see Duke freshman Zion Williamson topping the table.
Unfortunately for Duke fans and most of the NCAA punters that picked Zion to take the award, Duke lost in the Elite 8, turning the market upside down.
Now, with just the Championship Game to play out, the MOP market makes for very interesting reading.
Before we take a look and dissect the contenders, let’s take a look at our other NCAA Championship betting guides.
2019 NCAA Basketball Most Outstanding Player betting chances
Kyle Guy, Virginia – +350
Guy is the leading scorer for Virginia, averaging 15.6ppg. His three free throws with 0.6 seconds left in the Final Four win over Auburn helped the Cavaliers force their way into the nation title game. While Guy had 15 points in the win over Auburn in the Final Four and 25 in the Elite 8 win over Purdue, he only averaged 7.3ppg in the first three games of the tournament. He will have to put on a great show to win the MOP after a slow start in the Big Dance.
Jarrett Culver, Texas Tech – +700
Like Guy, Culver is the leading scorer for his team, averaging 18.6ppg. He averaged 21.5ppg in his first four games in the tournament, but his MOP chances took a hit in the Final Four win over Michigan State where he only had 10 points on 3/12 shooting missing two of his three three-pointers and was only 3/6 from the free throw line. He still has a good shot for the MOP, but, like Guy, has to have a great title game.
Ty Jerome, Virginia – +750
Jerome was the third leading scorer for UVU on the season averaging 13.5 ppg and he may have the inside track on the MOP even though he has the third best odds. In the first three games, he scored around his season average, but in the last two game he has scored 24 points and 21 points respectively. He has also shot 50% from the floor in three of his four Big Dance games and is only averaging just under two turnovers per game.
De’Andre Hunter, Virginia – +1000
Hunter ranks second on the Cavaliers averaging 14.9 ppg and he went for 14 points and had five rebounds in the Final Four win over Auburn. He had 23 points in the opening game of the tournament, but then only had 10, 11, and 10 points in his next three games where he struggled with his shot before a good shooting game in the Final Four game.
Mamadi Diakite, Virginia – +2000
Diakite only averaged 7.4 ppg 4.4 rpg this season and his MOP odds are longshot ones, especially after only scoring two points in the Final Four win over Auburn. He totaled 31 points and 18 rebounds in the first two Big Dance games, but while he has been solid on the boards the whole tournament he has failed to score over seven points in two of his last three games.
Matt Mooney, Texas Tech – +2200
Mooney was the high scorer for the Red Raiders in their Final Four win going for 22 points on 8/16 shooting and he hit four of his eight three-pointers. He has averaged 15.6 ppg on the season and while he has totaled 39 points in his last two games he only averaged 10 ppg in his first three tourney games where he did not shoot a good FG% in any of them.
Davide Moretti, Texas Tech – +2800
Moretti needs a HUGE game in the final to win the MOP since he only had five points on 2/6 shooting in the Final Four win over Michigan State. A big game is also needed, as on the season he averaged 11.4 ppg and in his first four games in the tourney averaged 12 ppg. On top of that in four of his five games in the Big Dance he has failed to shoot over 44.4% from the floor.
Final 2019 Most Outstanding Player betting prediction
After his late-game heroics in the final four, it’s going to be difficult to go past Kyle Guy, especially if he plays a big part in a Virginia Championship.
At +250, Guy represents value for punters at Bovada.
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