CAN anyone stop Serena Williams in the Wimbledon women’s final this Saturday night? Sure, but you wouldn’t expect the main challenge to come from Garbine Muguruza.
The 21-year-old Spaniard is at very long odds to win ($6.05 at Sportsbet.com.au) and many are expecting her to get trampled by the force that is Serena, but she deserves some credit at least.
Serena Williams is at an unbackable head-to-head price of $1.13 which is only good for some multi-bet value, but there are plenty of line and exotic bets to choose from.
Wimbledon Women’s final odds
As previously stated, there isn’t much value in the head-to-head betting market, unless you’re a devoted fan of Muguruza.
That being said, the ‘game handicap’ line is more to our liking and we see value with the world number one tennis player.
Williams (-4.5) at $1.57 with Sportsbet.com.au
Muguruza (+4.5) at $2.25
We’re sure that when bookmakers opened the market, they expected money to come for Williams at the -4.5 line, but they probably didn’t expect it to be a landfall.
Williams has taken plenty of money and now the line sits at $1.57. That’s good enough for us, however, as women’s grand slam finals tend to be one-sided affairs.
There are other handicap lines available for punters that want more value.
Williams -6.5 ($2.87)
Williams -8.5 ($8.50) at CrownBet.com.au
Williams – 10.5 ($51)
We’re not saying Williams is going to win 6-0, 6-0, but it isn’t beyond impossible. Williams enjoys beating opponents comfortably and we fear for Muguruza here.
If you think the Spaniard has a better chance than the line suggests, bookmakers are also offering additional lines for Muguruza.
Muguruza +4.5 ($2.25)
Muguruza +2.5 ($3.75)
Serena Williams’ road to the final
Williams breezed through her first round match 6-4, 6-1 before winning by the same scoreline in her second match against Timea Babos.
She did have her struggles against Heather Watson in the third round, eventually winning in three sets 6-2, 4-6, 7-5.
She then defeated her sister Venus in straight sets which set up a quarterfinal against Viktoria Akarenka, whom she defeated in three sets.
Maria Sharapova continued to struggle against her nemesis and was dispatched 6-2, 6-4, putting Serena into yet another grand slam final.
“I think it is the best final you can play,” Muguruza said. “You know, to have Serena in the Wimbledon final I think is the hardest match you can have.
“If you want to win a grand slam, when you dream, you say, I want Serena in the final.”
Muguruza is giving her opponent plenty of respect, but we have seen Serena struggle at times throughout this tournament and Muguruza must strike at the right time.
“She’s stronger, good mentality, good shots, power, confident,” added Muguruza. “You know, a lot of things that make her a good player.”
We can see Serena getting this game off to a hot start so take the first set handicap (-2.0) at $2.08 with Sportsbet.com.au.
Garbine Muguruza’s road to the final
Muguruza is no fluke at Wimbledon, having already reached the quarterfinals at Roland Garros this year.
The vastly-improved youngster overcame plenty of adversity to reach the final after winning three of her matches in three sets.
The first came in the second round where she won the final set 6-2 and she followed that up with another three setter against Angelique Kerber of Germany.
She then took out Caroline Wozniacki in straight sets and caught the attention of many after that win. She would later prove her worth by beating the always tough Agnieszka Radwanska in three sets to secure her spot in the final.
Radwanska wasn’t very subtle about Muguruza’s chances of beating Williams in the final.
“I don’t think she can beat Serena in the final,” Radwanska said. “I think Serena’s not going to let her do that, no, no in this tournament. But I wish her luck. It’s going to be hard. If she does that, big respect.”
Wimbledon women’s final predictions
Of the three matches these two have played against each other, Williams has won two, the latest going to three sets at the 2015 Australian Open.
That bodes well for Muguruza who defeated Williams on clay at the French Open last year (6-2, 6-2), so there is a chance she can win.
But, this is a Wimbledon final and Serena doesn’t like the sound of losing to a player seeded 20.
We think Serena will tear through her opponent in record time and she could even notch a scoreline of 6-2, 6-3.
The -4.5 line at Sportsbet looks the good bet of the tournament at $1.57, so get involved as there is limited chances left to bet on grand slam tennis this year.