Betting Line: North Carolina -4.5
Over/Under: 163 at Bovada
North Carolina (32-3) is the top seed in the Midwest Region and takes on a dangerous Auburn (29-7) team that is the fifth seed in the region, riding an eight-game winning streak.
Auburn won the SEC title this season and while they had a close game in their first game in the NCAA Tournament, they beat up on Kansas in their last game. The Tigers scored 89 points in the win over Kansas and they are balanced team that has covered the spread in six games of their eight-game win streak.
North Carolina has not been tested in their two tournament games and in their last game they throttled the region’s 9th seed in Washington winning 81-59. They have the nation’s third highest scoring team and in the blowout win over Washington they played great on defense.
This season Auburn is 19-16-1 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 20-16 and North Carolina is at 22-11-2 ATS with an Over/Under record of 15-20.
This is the first ever game between these teams.
In Auburn’s last game facing 4th seed Kansas they sent the Jayhawks packing with an 89-75 win. They jumped out to a whopping 26-point halftime lead and shot 52.8% while Kansas shot 45.8%. One key in the game was turnovers, as they only had six while forcing 16. Bryce Brown led the team with 25 points on 9/13 shooting and Jared Harper had 18 points on 6/13 shooting.
Auburn has three players averaging in double figures in Brown (15.9 ppg), Harper (15.3 ppg), and Chuma Okeke (11.8 ppg). Brown shot the ball poorly in the Tigers opening 78-77 win over New Mexico State in the first round before playing well in the Kansas game and Harper has 35 points combined in the two games. Okeke, who also leads the team averaging 6.7 rpg, has totaled 25 points in the two tourney games, but has failed to shoot over 40% from the floor in either one.
North Carolina is coming off an 81-59 thrashing of Washington where they shot a solid 50.8% from the floor and they played solid D holding the Huskies to 38.3% shooting. Luke Maye led the Tar Heels in the game with 20 points and 14 rebounds and in the previous game he had 16 points and nine rebounds. Coby White had 17 points in the win over Washington on 6/11 shooting and leading scorer for the season Cameron Johnson (16.9 ppg), who had 13 points in the Washington game and had totaled 44 points in his previous two games. White is the 2nd leading scorer for UNC averaging 16.1 ppg) and Maye is averaging a double-double double (14.9 ppg 10.5 rpg).
Auburn Tigers betting trends
- 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall
- 5-2 ATS in their last seven games facing a team with a winning record
- 2-6 ATS in their last eight non-conference games
- Over record of 5-2 in their last seven games
North Carolina Tar Heels betting trends
- 5-1 ATS in their last six games
- 20-8-2 ATS in their last 30 games facing teams from the ACC
- Under record of 5-1 in their last six games
Auburn Tigers vs. North Carolina Tar Heels betting prediction
Auburn was more than solid in their win over Kansas, but UNC has looked dominant in their two games.
They have covered the spread in their last six games after winning by at least 20 points in their previous game.
Look for that trend to continue in this Sweet 16 matchup, as the Tar Heels will win and cover the spread and light up the scoreboard in the process.
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