The number of exotic bets available for Super Bowl LII is pretty insane.
After browsing through all of the atypical markets that the top bookmakers have available, the only thing we haven’t seen is bets on how the Patriots will cheat this year.
Fortunately for you, it’s harder for handicappers to accurately gauge exotic wagers. This means you have better opportunities for finding profitable bets by digging through what’s available. Here we have some tips about what we believe are the best markets for these bets.
Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski to score
Tom Brady isn’t known for his running game, but we think the sportsbooks are sleeping on him when it comes to his chances of scoring in Super Bowl LII. Here are the odds at Bet365:
|Score in First Half||Score in Second Half||Score in Game|
If you think there’s at least a six percent chance of Brady running one in at any point in the game, then that +1600 line is going to be profitable for you. We think it’s a solid option for a small bet to help hedge any other bets you’re making as well.
For Gronkowski, we’d definitely take the second half scoring bet at +700 since the Patriots historically score more in the second half of their games over the past few years, and he’s obviously a strong passing option.
Betting against Nick Foles
One of the interesting fights of Super Bowl LII is going to be between the Patriots’ lackluster defense and Eagles backup QB Nick Foles. We anticipate that Foles is going to be a bit shook in the first quarter, but the Pats defense has been in the big game several times in recent years. That’s why we think it’s a great market to bet against Foles, particularly in the first quarter.
|No Q1 TD Passes||First Touchdown Pass||Eagles to Score Last|
All three of these bets are looking good to us because we don’t think that Foles’ mental game has been tested like it will be on Super Bowl Sunday.
Now don’t get us wrong – we think Foles is a fine quarterback. We just don’t think these lines accurately reflect the psychological reality between him and the Patriots defense going into such a big game with him on relatively short notice.
If you asked him a month ago if he thought he’d be playing in the big game, there’s no doubt that he would have said no. There’s a chance that he proves us wrong on this, but we don’t think that we are, and we don’t think handicappers are taking these markets are being taken as seriously as they should.
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