Date/Time: 7:30 PM EST Sunday September 2, 2018
Venue: AT&T Stadium Arlington, Texas
Betting Line: Miami -3.5 at Bovada
Over/Under: 8 points
Miami come into the 2018-19 NCAA Football season ranked eighth in the nation and they face a tough foe in 25th-ranked LSU. This game is being held at a neutral site in the Lone Star State where the Hurricanes are the 3.5-point favorite at Bovada.
These teams have not met since the Peach Bowl in 2005 where LSU laid on a 40-3 beat down.
Last season Miami were in the BCS talk for a while, but they lost their last two games of the season and then lost to Wisconsin in the Orange Bowl to finish at 7-3. LSU finished up the year at 9-4, losing to Notre Dame in the Citrus Bowl. The Hurricanes went 5-8 ATS with an O/U record of 3-10, while LSU were 7-5-1 with an O/U record of 5-8.
For Miami, it all starts with returning senior QB Malik Rosier, who passed for 3,120 yards with 26 TD and 14 INT and also rushed for 468 yards. The Canes did lose their top two wide receivers last season and Ahmmon Richards (439 yards) is the main man coming back, the squad has some young talent on the outside. Lead RB Travis Homer is back and last season he rushed for 966 yards with eight TD and an average of six yards per carry.
Miami were balanced last season on D and while they have lost some pieces up front, their LB corps is stacked and the team has a great pass rush. Last season the Canes racked up 44 sacks and they will go up against a tough LSU offensive line in this matchup.
Ohio State transfer Joe Burrow won the starting LSU job and the junior has only 287 yards and two TD in his career. Still, any Buckeye QB has to be a pretty good one. The Tigers lost wide man D.J. Clark last season and he had twice as many receiving yards as the second-leading WR, who is also gone. Yeah, LSU will look to run the ball. RB Derrius Guice is now in the NFL and the lead guy returning is Brossette with only 96 career rushing yards. This team has some young bucks in the fold and will look to establish the ground game early.
LSU’s defense is loaded and ranked in the top 25 last season against the run and the pass. They may be better this year with the likes of LB Devin White, LB K’Lavon Chaisson and, arguably, the best CB in the nation, with obviously the best name, in Greedy Williams. The Tigers’ D is definitely the strength of the team and Miami will have their work cut out.
Miami Hurricanes betting trends
- Miami are 1-7 ATS in their last eight neutral-site games
- The Canes are 0-4 ATS in their last four games
- Miami have an Under record of 9-2 in their last 11 games
LSU Tigers betting trends
- LSU are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four non-conference games
- The Tigers are 6-1 in their last seven games
- LSU have an Under record of 20-8-2 in their last 30 games
Hurricanes vs. Tigers betting picks
Miami are ranked higher, but LSU have a great defense and hail from the SEC. The Canes are the favorites with the uncertain pieces the Tigers have on the offensive side of the ball. Still, LSU will run the ball in this game and the difference maker will be their D, which will shut Miami down. LSU will cover the spread at +3.5 points and look a good bet for the W as well, so the +145 moneyline is well worth a look at Bovada.
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