November 19-22, 2015, Huntingdale Golf Club, Melbourne
ADAM Scott is back on home soil and has the support of the punters in his pursuit of another Australian Masters golden jacket.
It’s a wide open field this year and bookmakers have respected the PGA Tour by putting all three PGA players at the top of the market. Adam Scott, Steven Bowditch and John Senden are all regular Tour players and they will likely attract plenty of support from punters.
CrownBet.com.au have tournament winner, Top 5, 10 and 20 markets, along with Round 1 leader options, which are always popular to kick off the tournament.
Tournament winner market and tips
Former World No.1 Adam Scott is the only real headline golfer to play in this year’s Australian Masters, but that won’t make this tournament any easier for punters.
Scott hasn’t been in the best form of late and punters are now getting a much better price for Scott than they have for many years. $3.50 for Scott to win is good value, based on his past performances in Australia, but punters will be hoping he can turn his golf game around on home soil.
This does open the door for an upset chance at odds however, as the likes of John Senden, Steven Bowditch and even perennial Australian golfers Brett Rumford and Rod Pampling.
There is some great value further down the list with Ashley Hall looking to replicate a very good 2014 Australian campaign.
Former amateur champion Matt Jager probably isn’t a household name, but he has the ability to win major tournaments and his odds of $201 could provide punters some hedging value on the weekend.
2015 Australian Masters market:
Market fancies and outside chances. For a full market, head to CrownBet.com.au
Adam Scott – $3.50
John Senden – $13
Steven Bowditch – $15
Cameron Smith – $21
Nicolas Colsaerts – $23
Brett Rumford – $26
Richard Green – $26
George McNeill – $29
Matthew Millar – $29
Wade Ormsby – $34
Daniel Fox – $41
James Nitties – $41
Aron Price – $51
Ben Eccles – $51
Bryson DeChambeau – $51
Cheng-Tsung Pan – $51
Michael Sim – $51
Nathan Holman – $51
Rod Pampling – $51
Peter Lonard – $67
Aaron Townsend – $81
Mathew Goggin – $81
Nathan Green – $81
Peter Senior – $81
Ashley Hall – $101
Nick O’Hern – $101
Matt Jager – $201
Craig Parry – $501
We think Adam Scott deserves to be the favourite at $3.50 and no other golfer in the field has shown enough this year to warrant favouritism.
We suggest placing a bet on Scott, but also taking some savers at longer odds for the best value. Taking numerous golfers at long odds can play into your favour on the weekend, as you can hedge around your selections and manage the tournament to secure a profit.
We suggest taking Brett Rumford ($34), Ashley Hall ($101) and Matt Jager to add some value for the punters that don’t mind taking big odds.
Best Australian Masters each way bets
Most of the favoured golfers are not worth backing in the Top 20 markets, but there are plenty of chances to make money betting this option.
Punters can get even money for all but the top six golfers which means there will be plenty of multi-bets running through some of the more fancied Top 20 options.
James Nitties usually provides a good sight for punters and the Huntington course should suit his play. The Australian is currently paying $2.50 for the Top 20 option which looks a decent bet at those odds.
Some of the usual names should feature this week with Michael Sim ($2.75) and Aron Price ($2.75) looking like solid each-way chances.
The best value comes with the older contingent of Nathan Green ($3.75), Peter Senior ($3.75) and Nick O’Hern ($4.50). All three have been there, done that, and with the 2015 Australian Masters not being the strongest tournament, they could flourish once again at this level.
The best thing about punting this option is that you could have up to 20 winning bets.
Best Top 20 bets:
Michael Sim – $2.75
Aron Price – $2.75
Nathan Green – $3.75
Peter Senior – $3.75
Nick O’Hern – $4.50
Peter Fowler – $4.50
Alistair Presnell – $5.50
Gareth Paddison – $5.50
Matt Jager – $8
Nick Gillespie – $21
The final chance listed is New Zealand golfer Nick Gillespie. The former New Zealand Amateur winner (where he defeated PGA Tour star Danny Lee) has been going through a rough time on the course since turning pro, but he has the ability.
He’s an outside chance, but worth the risk at $21 with CrownBet.com.au.
Top First Round leader picks and odds
Adam Scott – $6
John Senden – $17
Steven Bowditch – $19
Cameron Smith – $26
Nicholas Colsaerts – $29
Richard Green – $29
George McNeill – $34
Matthew Millar – $34
Wade Ormsby – $34
Brett Rumford – $34
These are the top 10 chances with bookmakers and you’re getting great value compared to the tournament winner option.
If you think your golfer will come out of the blocks well, then take a bet in the first round leader market and your odds will be significantly higher. Adam Scott is paying $6 compared to his $3.50 tournament winning price which offers punters very good value.
We like Scott and Bowditch to come out firing on Day 1 so back both for a better chance of winning.
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