NFL Week 1 spread betting tips – Minnesota vs. Green Bay betting odds

Betting Line: Packers -1
Over/Under: 46.5 points at Bovada

The Packers and Vikings renew their old NFC North rivalry this Sunday in Green Bay and the big question is will Aaron Rodgers play?

Rodgers left the game early in Week 1 of the 2018 NFL season with a knee injury, but came back and led an epic comeback as the Packers scored 21 points in the fourth quarter to notch a 24-23 win over the Chicago Bears.

The Vikings got a solid win in their home opener, beating the San Francisco 49ers 24-16 — a match in which Kirk Cousins had a very solid debut. Last season the Vikings beat the Packers twice.

The Vikings are 1-0 ATS after one game with an Over/Under record of 0-1-0 and the Packers are 0-1 ATS with an O/Y record of 1-0.

Last season the Vikings had the top-ranked defense in the NFL and they held the Packers to only 10 points in the two wins facing them.

In their season opener the Vikings beat the San Francisco 49ers 24-16. Minnesota only out-gained San Francisco by 16 yards, but they ran the ball better and forced four turnovers while only committing one.

Kirk Cousins had a good debut in the season opener passing for 244 yards with two touchdowns and he did not have any interceptions. Adam Thielen led the team with 102 receiving yards and while the Vikings rushed for 116 yards Latavius Murray (42 rushing yards) only averaged 3.8 yards per carry and Dalvin Cook (40 rushing yards) only averaged 2.5 yards per carry.

Minnesota’s defense did give up 237 passing yards, but had three interceptions and they held the 49ers to only 90 rushing yards. They will be tested more in this game in Lambeau Field if Rodgers is ready to go.

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Rodgers may be a game-time decision with his knee injury, but he came back in the Chicago game and I think he will go in this one. The Packers sure hope he does, as backup was less than stellar, as with Rodgers out for three series’ he was 4/7 for 55 yards with no touchdowns and had an interception and a lost fumble. Rodgers ended up 20/30 with 286 yards and three touchdowns, all in the fourth quarter, and he was not picked off. Randall Cobb and Davante Adams combined for 230 receiving yards and each had a TD.

The Packers only rushed for 69 yards in the win over Chicago with Jamaal Williams rushing for 47 yards averaging 3.1 yards per carry. If Rodgers does go in this game his mobility will be hampered, which is why Green Bay needs a good ground game. However, that is easier said than done facing a solid Minnesota run defense.

Minnesota betting trends

• Vikings are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games
• Vikings are 25-11 ATS in their last 36 games after a straight up win
• Over record of 5-2 in their last 7 road games
• The Vikings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games facing the Packers.
• The underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 games between these teams.

Green Bay betting trends

• Packers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games
• Packers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games facing a team with a winning record
• Packers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall
• Over record of 23-7 in their last 30 games
• In the last 7 games between these teams the Under record is 6-1.

Minnesota vs. Green Bay betting prediction

Will Rodgers play or not? That is the big question heading into this early-season NFC North matchup.

I think he will go, as he is tough and has played through injuries before.

This will be a good game, but in the 4th quarter Rodgers will take over and lead the Packers to a win.

Green Bay will move to 2-0 on the season with a home win and send the Vikings to their first loss.

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