8:15pm EST Saturday, January 5 at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX
Betting Line: Cowboys -1
Over/Under: 43.5 at 5Dimes
The Seattle Seahawks are the Wild Card team in this NFC matchup, having won six of their last seven games of the regular season. However, in those seven games they only faced one team that is in the NFL Playoffs and lost to a four-win San Francisco 49ers side on the road. Seattle were 4-4 on the road and beat the Dallas Cowboys 24-13 at home in their third game of the season. Russell Wilson leads a team that runs a solid ground game, but after having a great defense for a few years they only ranked 17th in the NFL in that category this season.
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The Cowboys won seven of their last eight games, including their last two, and they were 7-1 at home this season. Their defense was solid, but they did not play great down the stretch and gave up 35 points to the New York Giants in their last outing even though they won the game. Running back Ezekiel Elliot led the league in rushing yards and did not play in the last game of the season, so he will be well rested for this one.
This season the Seahawks are 9-5-2 ATS and have an Over/Under record of 9-7, while the Cowboys are at 9-7 ATS with an Over/Under record of 7-9.
The underdog is 5-0-1 ATS in the last six games between these two NFC teams.
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The Seahawks ended their season with a 27-24 win over a three-win Arizona Cardinals team where they kicked a field goal in the final seconds to seal it. Their defense held Arizona to only 198 total yards and they played the run well, giving up 85 rushing yards. On the other side of the coin Seattle gained 182 rushing yards.
Wilson was solid all season and the Seahawks have a few running backs that can move the chains on the ground including Chris Carson, who rushed for 122 yards in the win over the Cardinals. Turnovers are always key and it was in the early season matchup between these two teams where the Cowboys had three and the Seahawks did not have any.
This season the Cowboys’ defense ranked fifth in the league against the run and 13th against the pass.
Dallas ended the season with a 36-35 win over the Giants where they had fewer yards (441-119) and without Elliot in the backfield they only rushed for 51 yards. They gave up 143 yards and that has to be a concern facing a run-first Seattle squad. Elliot rushed for 127 yards in the early season loss to Seattle and lost a fumble, while quarterback Dak Prescott was picked off twice. Prescott had 387 passing yards with four TD and no interceptions in the win over the Giants and he was not picked off in his last two games. He also now has a legitimate No.1 wide receiver in Amari Cooper, who was not with Dallas when they faced Seattle earlier in the season.
Seattle’s defense looked like the Seattle defense of the last few years in their win over Arizona, but they still only ranked 17th defending the pass and 13th defending the run.
Seattle Seahawks betting trends
- 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games
- 4-1 ATS in their last five road games
- 1-5 ATS in their last six playoff games
- Over record of 7-1 in their last eight games
Dallas Cowboys betting trends
- 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a win
- 6-2 ATS in their last eight games
- 3-8 ATS in their last 11 playoff games
- 1-4 ATS in their last eight home playoff games
- Over record of 5-2 in their last seven games
Seattle Seahawks vs. Dallas Cowboys predictions
We would love to see Seattle with this one, but the smart money is on America’s Team. Elliot will have a solid game and, unlike the first matchup between these teams, the Cowboys will not turn the ball over multiple times. This game will be a close one, but Dallas will advance and send the Seahawks packing.
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