With the conclusion of the women’s French Open, Wimbledon 2018 is the next major event for women’s tennis fans.
The event is scheduled to be played in the early weeks of July. As old betting habits die hard, Serena Williams is currently the top American in punters markets. In fact, Williams is the outright favorite regardless of nationality, priced at +450 at 5Dimes.
Here’s a snapshot of the all the American players that 5Dimes currently has odds offered on.
1. Serena Williams +450
2. Madison Keys +1400
3. Sloane Stephens +1800
4. Coco Vandeweghe +2200
5. Venus Williams +2200
6. Catherine Bellis +15000
7. Alison Riske +40000
Partisan American punters that can agree that Serena is a tough sell at+450 are then forced to look down the list of favorites. Stephens at +1800 has to be considered the steal of the moment. She has now defeated Madison Keys in all three of their head-to-head meetings. Furthermore, Stephens has won the two biggest matches of each player’s career.
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A closer look at their head-to-head series shows that Stephens actually has Keys’ game pinned down: Madison has yet to win a set off of Stephens or even make it to a tiebreaker. At first glance, it looks like partisan American bettors should be filtering their bets toward Stephens for Wimbledon 2018.
But are the likes of Coco Vandeweghe, Venus Williams, Catherine Bellis, and Alison Riske worth adding in? The simple answer is “no” with explanations due for each player.
Vandeweghe simply isn’t good enough to win a Grand Slam. Last year, she emerged as a major contender by betting odds at Wimbledon, seemingly destined for the semifinals at one point. However, her match against Magdalena Rybarikova was a dismal failure. Furthermore, Vandeweghe’s game abandoned her at other peak times, notably in the 2017 Australian Open semifinals and at Flushing Meadows in the semis last season.
Venus Williams may have more pure talent than Vandeweghe but the former Wimbledon champ is likely past the age of contention. In last year’s final, Venus had little to compete against Garbine Muguruza. With her 38th birthday looming, late-round matches against opponents that are 15 years younger than her promise to be nightmarish. Even at +2200, Williams can’t be touched.
Catherine Bellis’ odds look flirty at +15000 but there just isn’t anything in the 19-year old’s 2018 season to take those odds with any kind of optimism. There seemed to be something in her game in February when she defeated both Karolina Pliskova and Madison Keys at Doha. But at present, Bellis is too cloudy to bet on following a stretch of time with minimal play. However, she is one to watch in the small events ahead of Wimbledon (she’s on the Eastbourne players’ list). If she does well on grass at Eastbourne, it may be possible to get her at long odds before they shorten too much.
The last player on the list above, Alison Riske, is easily avoidable. She could end up with a draw through all kinds of mountainous players in both the early and late rounds. She might be considered 1500 to 1 just to beat three players in the top ten in the same tournament. While +40000 might look big it’s nowhere near big enough to win the whole event.
For the partisan American punter, that leaves Stephens as the player most worth taking. If you wanted to multi-pick among the Americans then you would add in Keys. She has certainly flirted with the late rounds of majors often enough in her career to be worth a dabble. Furthermore, it simply can’t be ignored that two of her three career WTA titles were won on grass.
Prediction: Keys and Stephens are the longest-lasting Americans at Wimbledon 2018.
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