NFL fans looking for a betting angle on the upcoming season are advised to bet against Tom Brady’s age in the coming 2018/19 season.
A look at his game log from last season suggests that he could tire in the upcoming season more easily than in years gone by.
That should go without saying since Brady will turn 41-years old early next month. However, some betting odds that have a lot to do with Brady are so long that his relationship to New England’s success is worth an examination.
Last season, Brady started the season strong and threw for over 300 yards in four of his first five games. After that, he only threw over 300 yards in a game twice more.
American football is a sport where individual stats are related to a large degree to the performance of other players and coaching strategies.
The reason why Brady’s throwing yards declined in the 2nd half of last season is a tough question.
But his age can’t be ignored and it’s certainly worth taking note that his two worst games by throwing yards were the last two games of the season. That could be due to him fatiguing or New England management realising that they shouldn’t overuse Brady’s arm. Either way, it could be that the Patriots end up reliant on runningbacks — or even their back-up QB — a little more often in 2018/19 than in the past.
If you are anticipating that Brady might decline or pick up an injury in the next season then there is some value to highlight in some NFL markets. For instance, betway offers +1000 on New England Not To Make The Playoffs.
That’s a phrase that can’t be associated with the Patriots in most NFL-commentary circles. But it doesn’t sound so far-fetched when you remember that sometimes even 10-6 teams don’t make the playoffs in the competitive NFL.
What would it really take for the Pats not to get in? Brady, at the age of 41, misses a few games and the Pats go 0-3? They play well otherwise but still only go 9-4 in the other games for a below-the-cut 9-7 mark.
Betting against a 41-year old QB certainly isn’t a dumb move to make when working with odds as long as +1000.
Recommendation: New England Not To Make the Playoffs at +1000
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