Betting Line: Wisconsin -2
Over/Under: 116.5 at Bovada
Oregon (23-12) is the lower seed in this game with Wisconsin (23-10), but they are red-hot and the Badgers cannot be happy drawing a Ducks’ team that won their conference tournament.
Oregon comes into this game with. Full head of steam winning their last eight games and they won the Pac 12 Tournament. They are led by a defense that ranks 17th in the nation in points allowed and in four of their last five games they held their opponents to under 58 points. On top of that in beating Pac 12 regular season winner Washington in the conference final they only gave up 48 points.
Wisconsin had won four in a row before losing a top10 Michigan State team in the Big 10 tourney semifinals. The Badgers played a tougher schedule with the Pac 12 being down this season and while they are not a high scoring team they have a defense that ranks ninth in the nation in points allowed.
In this first round South Region matchup 5th seed Wisconsin faces 12th seed Oregon where the winner will face the winner of the Kansas State vs. UC Irvine game.
This season Oregon is 20-15 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 11-24 and Wisconsin is at 16-16-1 ATS with an Over/Under record of 14-18.
These teams last met in the 2015 in the Big Dance where Wisconsin beat Oregon 72-65.
In the Pac 12 Tournament championship game Oregon turned on the defense in their 68-48 win over Washington. They outscored the Huskies by 18 points in the second half and they held them to a FG% of only 33.3% they shot a legit 52.5% from the floor. Payton Pritchard led Oregon in the game going for 20 points on 7/9 shooting and two other starters went for at least 14 points.
Louis King (12.7 ppg) led the Ducks in scoring on the season and he had totaled 39 points before going for 15 points in the win over Washington. Pritchard is also averaging 12.7 ppg on the season and he has averaged 19.3 ppg in his last three games.
Wisconsin fell to Michigan State 67-55 in their last game in the Big 10 semis, where they struggled to shoot the rock to say the least. They only shot 35.3% from the floor missing 17 of their 19 three-pointers while they allowed the Spartans to shoot 43.4%. Ethan Happ led the Badgers with 20 points on 10/20 shooting and Kobe King more than triples his season average to go for 15 points off the bench.
Happ (17.5 ppg 10.1 rpg) is the big gun for the Badgers, but he only had four points in the game before the loss to Michigan State in his last game. He will be key scoring and on the glass and if the Ducks can contain him they may be in good shape. D’Mitrik Trice (11.7 ppg) and Brad Davison (10.7 ppg) are the other two players for the team averaging in double figures and Trice has failed to score over nine points in his last five games and in the MSU loss he only had seven points on 3/10 shooting.
Oregon Ducks betting trends
- 8-0 ATS in their last eight games
- 5-0 ATS in their last five neutral site games
- Under record of 21-8 in their last 29 games
Wisconsin Badgers betting trends
- 1-4 ATS in their last five games after a loss
- 6-2 ATS in their last eight games facing Pac 12 teams
- Under record of 12-5 in their last 17 games
Oregon Ducks vs. Wisconsin Badgers betting prediction
May experts are picking Oregon in this game and they are right.
The Ducks are the much hotter team and they have covered the spread in their last eight games.
Look for that trend to continue, as in a low scoring affair Oregon will not only cover the spread getting two points, but they will get the win as well.
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