South Sydney Rabbitohs
THERE has been plenty of off-field drama this week, especially regarding the decision of Daly Cherry-Evans to stay at Manly, but just how will that affect both Manly and the Titans this week?
Both teams will be in action this Friday night, but they won’t be facing each other. The Sea Eagles are playing the equal premiership-leading Brisbane Broncos and the Titans square up against the Tigers.
Other highlight clashes include the Rabbitohs vs. Warriors and Bulldogs vs. Dragons.
We have all eight NRL games covered this Queen’s Birthday Weekend complete with analysis, odds and free tips.
Broncos vs. Sea Eagles
Friday, May 5, 7:45pm, Suncorp Stadium
Broncos – $1.39 (-8)
Sea Eagles – $3.00 (+8)
The Broncos managed to escape the first Origin period unscathed, winning against the Knights without their stars, and winning last week against the Raiders.
They currently sit second on the ladder with 18 points, sitting only behind the Dragons on points difference. They are at full strength for this game against the Eagles, who should be pleased that DCE has stayed with them.
Daly Cherry-Evans has decided to stay with the Eagles after it was almost certain the play-maker could be leaving. How that will affect the Eagles, we’re not sure, but having him there should only be a positive in the eyes of punters.
The Broncos are expected to win this game, but the -8 line is troubling. The Sea Eagles have tightened up in recent weeks and they could cover this spread.
Tip: Sea Eagles +8 ($1.91) at Sportsbet.com.au
Exotic: Over 40.5 points
Tigers vs. Titans
Friday, May 5, 7:45pm, Leichardt Oval
Tigers – $1.65 (-3.5)
Titans – $2.25 (+3.5)
The big question is how will the Titans come out after losing Daly Cherry-Evans? Will they have a point to prove?
The Titans were expecting the superstar to feature heavily in their attack, but he has left them up a creek without a paddle.
Now the Titans must regroup and they can use that energy to overcome the Tigers which haven’t exactly been in scintillating form.
The Tigers are coming off a bye which was needed after being beaten 8-0 by the North Queensland Cowboys without their Origin stars.
There doesn’t seem to be much going right for the Tigers and the Titans are coming off a strong performance against the Rabbitohs, so we favour the underdog here.
Tip: Titans to win ($2.25) at CrownBet.com.au
Exotic: Titans HTFT at $3
Knights vs. Raiders
Saturday, May 6, 3:05pm, Hunter Stadium
Knights – $1.95 (+1.5)
Raiders – $1.85 (-1.5)
The Knights poor season continued last week when they lost 24-20 to the Warriors.
They face the Raiders which are also coming off a loss (24-12 to the Broncos), but their season has had more positives than negatives.
The Raiders may be on a three-game losing streak which has seen them slip out of the top eight, but they handily defeated the Titans 56-16 in Round 9 and that form could be reached again here.
The Knights have been bit by the confidence bug and their form is very poor at this stage, but playing at Hunter Stadium will increase their chances.
Tough game to call, but we’re sticking with the offensively-minded Raiders.
Tip: Raiders to win at $1.85
Exotic: Raiders 1-12 ($3.20) at CrownBet.com.au
Rabbitohs vs. Warriors
Saturday, May 6, 5:35pm, NIB Stadium
Rabbitohs – $1.65 (-3.5)
Warriors – $2.25 (+3.5)
Is this the same Rabbitohs team that won the premiership last season? It certainly doesn’t look like it after just scraping by the Titans last week.
The Rabbitohs started the season well, but haven’t looked the same since losing to the Eels 29-16 in Round 4.
The Warriors on the other hand have plenty of confidence after beating the Knights and the play of Shaun Johnson is giving them reason to be confident.
Johnson has played himself into Dally M Medal contention with some stellar performances and the young Warriors backs are jumping on his lead.
The Warriors tend to play best against the quality sides and we’re expecting them to push the Rabbitohs in what should be a close thriller.
Tip: Warriors +3.5 ($1.90) at Sportsbet.com.au
Exotic: Shaun Johnson to score at $3
Panthers vs. Storm
Saturday, May 6, 7:35pm, Pepper Stadium
Panthers – $2.25 (+3.5)
Storm – $1.65 (-3.5)
Those who watched the Roosters vs. Storm game last Monday night witness one of the worst Storm performances in their young NRL history.
The Storm got thrashed on every level and there was nothing the Origin players could do about it. They did miss the fullback play of Billy Slater, but the forwards weren’t able to get any go-forward ball and this must change if they want to beat the Panthers.
Penrith have a very good chance to capitalise on a Storm side lacking confidence and the underdog price looks very enticing.
$2.25 is a good price for the Panthers which won their last home game against the Sea Eagles.
Tip: Panthers to win ($2.25) at WilliamHill.com.au
Exotic: Panthers +3.5
Sharks vs Roosters
Sunday, May 7, 4:05pm, Remondis Stadium
Sharks – $3.00 (+8)
Roosters – $1.39 (-8)
The Roosters are coming off the most dominant display of league you will see this year, beating the Storm 24-2 in an absolute smashing at ANZ Stadium last Monday.
Due to that impressive display, their odds for this game against the Sharks is very low at $1.39, but for multi-bet punters that price should sit well.
The Sharks haven’t been too bad in recent times, but they would have to improve ten-fold in order to overcome the much improved Roosters outfit.
Tip: Roosters to win at $1.39
Exotic: Aubusson to score first ($11) at CrownBet.com.au
Bulldogs vs. Dragons
Monday, May 8, 4:05pm, ANZ Stadium
Bulldogs – $1.85
Dragons – $1.85
The Queen’s Birthday Monday doubleheader kicks off with the Bulldogs vs. Dragons. This game is one of the most highly anticipated games so far this season.
The Dragons sit atop of the NRL premiership after smashing the Sharks 42-6 last weekend and you know they are travelling well when Benji Marshall is leading the Dally M Medal count after 12 rounds.
The Bulldogs have been up and down this season, but they are coming off a bye which followed a dramatic 41-34 win over the Raiders.
The Bulldogs were always going to click into form sooner or later and this is a big danger game for the high-flying Dragons.
The bookmakers can’t split them, but we’re leaning towards the Bulldogs.
Tip: Bulldogs to win ($1.85) at Sportsbet.com.au
Exotic: Bulldogs 1-12 at $3.20
Eels vs. Cowboys
Monday, May 8, 7:00pm, Pirtek Stadium
Eels – $2.70 (+6)
Cowboys – $1.47 (-6)
The Eels are a very tough team to trust, but they are coming off a 26-20 win at home against the Penrith Panthers.
The Eels have struggled with consistency this season, but they grow in confidence when they play at Pirtek Stadium and they’ll need all of that against premiership favourites the North Queensland Cowboys.
The Cowboys managed to score a win last week against the Sea Eagles, but notch that closely-run encounter down to Origin tiredness.
With time to rest, expect the Cowboys to put all their best moves in the final game of Round 13. The $1.47 is on the shorter side of value, but there will be a lot of multi-bets ending on this option.
Tip: Cowboys to win at $1.47
Exotic: Under 41.5 points ($1.90) at CrownBet.com.au
Two NRL teams struggling in the bottom half of the ladder come together to battle it out and keep their finals hopes alive. Get all your multi tips here.
It’s the Eels vs. Rabbitohs this Friday in a big NRL blockbuster. Can the Eels deliver with the favourite tag? We look at lines and exotics in our betting guide.
Two struggling clubs will look to their match-up on NRL Thursday as a vital battle in their pursuit of a sport in the NRL 2016 finals. Get your betting tips.
Thursday night footy brings us two battlers this week, with South Sydney and Wests Tigers both trying to kick-start their 2016 with a win. Get your free tips.
The punters and bookmakers alike are expecting a huge Broncos win on Friday night NRL, so where does the punting value lie? We look at the try-scoring markets.
The Cowboys have a new hero on the field and he goes by the name of Javid Bowen. Can he deliver on the scoreboard again in Friday night NRL? Get your tips here.
Manly is coming off a thrilling win against the Roosters – can they repeat the dose against South Sydney in round 5? Get our free tips for first try-scorer here.
The Rabbitohs and Bulldogs face-off in round 4, both in desperate need for a win after disappointing losses last week. We’ve got the try-scoring tips here.
WE ARE down to the business end of the NRL season now and well into the race to become 2015 NRL Premiers, with Round 26 set to wrap-up the regular season in style over the next four days.
The week kicks off this Thursday when the Broncos take on the Storm in an extremely important game for both teams. The Broncos are looking to claim the top spot heading into the finals and the Storm want to consolidate their top four position.
There will be plenty more quality where that came from, with the Roosters taking on the Rabbitohs, the Sharks up against the Sea Eagles, while the Bulldogs will be looking to make a late push when they face the Warriors at ANZ Stadium on Sunday.
Broncos vs. Storm
Thursday, September 3, 7:45pm, Suncorp Stadium
Broncos – $1.83 (-1)
Storm – $2.02 (+1)
What a cracking game to kick off Round 26 where a Broncos win could see them win the minor premiership.
The Broncos currently sit in second position on points differential and a win will put them atop of the ladder. They are in great form after beating the Rabbitohs 47-12 last Thursday and they have had a full week to recover.
The Storm bounced back last week by beating the Cowboys 14-6 and they look to be gaining momentum heading into the finals.
Melbourne have been unusually inconsistent this season, but as the market shows, bookmakers expect this to be a very close game.
Tip: Broncos to win ($1.83) at Sportsbet.com.au
Exotic: Broncos HTFT at $2.60
Roosters vs. Rabbitohs
Friday, September 4, 7:45pm, Allianz Stadium
Roosters – $1.32 (-10.5)
Rabbitohs – $3.40 (+10.5)
A classic all-Sydney clash here where the premiership leading Roosters take on the scuffling Rabbitohs which will be looking to find their form again.
The Rabbitohs got an old-fashioned hammering last week and, without Greg Inglis, they simply look like a different team.
Things don’t get easier here, taking on the Roosters which are firing on all cylinders after winning 46-10 against the Sea Eagles.
Typically this game would be close, but we don’t see many weaknesses in the Roosters game and they should cover the spread.
Tip: Roosters -10.5 ($1.90) at CrownBet.com.au
Exotic: Ferguson to score at $2.40
Panthers vs. Knights
Saturday, September 5, 3:05pm, Pepper Stadium
Panthers – $2.10 (+2.0)
Knights – $1.72 (-2.0)
This is a game which has no impact on the finals, but it should still be an exciting match-up.
The Panthers are coming off a Monday night loss to the Raiders, which looks bad on paper, but losing Jamie Soward so early in the game didn’t help their cause.
The Knights have shown some late season form and they pushed the Bulldogs very close last week. The 18-20 score line was indicative of their current form and even though they’re playing away from home, they should be too good for the Panthers.
Tip: Knights to win ($1.72) at Sportsbet.com.au
Exotic: Uate to score at $1.83
Dragons vs. Tigers
Saturday, September 5, 5:35pm, ANZ Stadium
Dragons – $1.70 (-2.5)
Tigers – $2.08 (+2.5)
It’s quite simple for the Dragons – win and you’re in the finals – and even though the Tigers came away with a big win against the Warriors, they should simply be too good for them.
The Dragons have limped into the finals so far and they won’t make an impact in the playoffs, but betting on this game looks like good value.
Their defensive efforts should be enough to hold off the attacking-styled Tigers and we think they come away with a low-scoring win.
Tip: Dragons to win at $1.70
Exotic: Under 42.5 points ($1.91) at Bet365.com
Cowboys vs. Titans
Saturday, September 5, 7:35pm, 1300Smiles Stadium
Cowboys – $1.17 (-14.0)
Titans – $4.90 (+14.0)
The Cowboys are used to covering the big betting spread this year and they face another one here to end the regular season.
They scored only six points last week against the Storm, but they rarely lose two in a row and all the Titans are hoping to do is spoil the party.
With so much at stake for the Cowboys and the home advantage, we expect them to pile on the points and roll into the finals with plenty of confidence.
Tip: Cowboys -14.5 ($1.90) at Sportsbet.com.au
Exotic: Coote to score two tries at $8
Eels vs. Raiders
Sunday, September 6, 2:05pm, Pirtek Stadium
Eels – $1.60 (-4.0)
Raiders – $2.35 (+4.0)
The Eels are causing headaches for teams in the finals hunt after beating Melbourne and pushing the Sharks close last week.
They finally face an opponent which has under-performed this season in the Raiders, and this is a spot bet which Eels backers should appreciate.
The Raiders have played better away from home this season, but the Eels’ fans are hopeful of next season and nothing brings them back like a win to end the season.
This could be a points fest and the bookmakers currently have the line at 48.
Tip: Eels to win ($1.60) at WilliamHill.com.au
Exotic: Over 48 points at $1.90
Sharks vs. Sea Eagles
Sunday, September 6, 4:10pm, Remondis Stadium
Sharks – $1.57 (-4.5)
Sea Eagles – $2.40 (+4.5)
The Sharks have a great chance to win their first ever NRL premiership and winning the final game of the regular season will do their confidence some good.
The Sea Eagles’ chances of making the playoffs are slim as they need a very big win against the Sharks, but they will come out firing and they have the talent in their back line.
The Sharks were pushed hard by the Eels last week, but they would have learned from that experience and we’re expecting the men from Cronulla to grind out a tough win here.
Tip: Sharks -4.5 ($1.90) at Bet365.com
Exotic: Under 42.5 points at $1.90
Bulldogs vs. Warriors
Sunday, September 6, 6:35pm, ANZ Stadium
Bulldogs – $1.06 (-24.0)
Warriors – $9 (+24.0)
We’re just going to put it frankly… the Bulldogs will hammer the Warriors.
The Bulldogs have looked one of the better sides towards the end of the season and the Warriors look like second graders.
The bookmakers have this game on the money at the 24-point line and even though it’s a big line to cover, the Bulldogs should have a field day this Sunday.
Tip: Bulldogs -24.0 ($1.90) at Sportsbet.com.au
Exotic: Rona to score two tries at $1.72